thirteen days decision making traps

What makes all these traps so dangerous is their invisibility. Dont surround yourself with yes-men. Hence, making the film more entertaining and representing multiple . CA: sageKuhnert, K.W. Check whether youre examining all evidence with equal rigor. The following part of the movie is related to Framing Trap. And the recallability trap prompts us to give undue weight to recent, dramatic events. If the problem lies in your own wounded self-esteem, deal with it head-on. Thirteen Days is an American movie that was released in 2000. The "Thirteen Days" movie describes how the 35th president of United States of America (USA), John Fitzgerald Kennedy (JFK) dealt with the Cuban Missile Crisis during the period of October 14-28, 1963. Another group in the study, however, was asked to choose between alternatives C and D: Plan C: This plan will result in the loss of two of the three cargoes, worth $400,000. Thirteen Days Movie Analysis Sep. 09, 2012 6 likes 24,582 views Download Now Download to read offline Entertainment & Humor Technology An analysis Dann Sal Deli Follow Advertisement Recommended 13 Days In October 1962 Timp79 3.7k views 18 slides Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962 Erika Sutherland 27.4k views 18 slides 5. cuban missile crisis Improving organizational effectiveness through transformational leadership (pp. Narrow framing : you only look at the options immediately presented to you, and therefore you miss . it was a blustery day in the 100 acre wood; . SAGE Publications. The bank finally solved the problem by instituting a policy requiring that a loan be immediately reassigned to another banker as soon as any problem arose. Its important to remember, though, that the best defense is always awareness. In half the cases, we used 35 million in the first question; in the other half, we used 100 million. Each state gave drivers a new option: by accepting a limited right to sue, they could lower their premiums. The framing trap occurs when we misstate a problem, undermining the entire decision-making process. Linda was also concerned that her teams discussions often seemed to be about the pros and cons she had already articulated, and she wondered if there were angles they might be missing as they did their analysis. And if you find that an adviser always seems to support your point of view, find a new adviser. BEST OF HBR 1998 The Hidden Traps in Decision Making by John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, and Howard Raiffa Before deciding on a course of action, prudent change for each version. Most of us have fallen into this trap. This person whom I aspired to be was my mother. Linda had not realized the decision-making process could be hindering her team's progress. Smart decision-making: Are you considering too few options? Is the population of Turkey greater than 35 million? I have mentioned a list of decision-making traps and decision-making practice as follows. The hidden traps lead one into a decision trap, a thought pattern by a decision maker that can make a situation go in a negative way. One of their ships resists the inspection. Seek out and listen carefully to the views of people who were uninvolved with the earlier decisions and who are hence unlikely to be committed to them. The traps weve reviewed can all work in isolation. In addition to monitor and disseminator roles, the movie also showed how Robert McNamara, The USA Secretary of Defence, act as JFKs spokesperson in Pentagon, making sure that no action was taken without JFKs approval. The room is so that there is a single table in the center surrounded by chairs along with a few chairs randomly placed against the wall. Those who had heard the list with the more famous men thought there were more men on the list, while those who had heard the one with the more famous women thought there were more women. We get through the day with heuristics. The movie I watched for this movie analysis assignment is Thirteen Days. The third? Each barge holds $200,000 worth of cargo, which will be lost if not salvaged within 72 hours. The esteemed Harvard Business Review article " The Hidden Traps in Decision Making " is just as applicable now, as when it was first published back in 1998. The first electronic newspapers appearing on the World Wide Web looked very much like their print precursors. . Knowing how to make great decisions is one the jewels of great cultures. For a while youve been concerned that your company wont be able to sustain the rapid pace of growth of its exports. This is known as an anchor trap. An anchor trap gives a decision maker unbalanced weight to the first information they have received. We tend to subconsciously decide what to do before figuring out why we want to do it. Strategic Decision Making and Leadership Principles in the Movie "Thirteen Days" Introduction The movie presents a situation where decisions (with long term consequences) need to be made. More people will, for instance, choose the status quo when there are two alternatives to it rather than one: A and B instead of just A. When a manager gets stuck in a decision because of an. The Cuban Missile Crisis was a thirteen-day, Thirteen Days To account for uncertainty, they were then asked to estimate a range within which the closing value would likely fall. Thousand Oaks, California, U.S.A., In the investigation of the various characteristics and styles of leadership the emphasis of the style approach is the focus on the actions and behavioral characteristics of the leader. Try not to be guided by impressions. Try posing problems in a neutral, redundant way that combines gains and losses or embraces different reference points. A., II, Robinson, R. B. Because they are hardwired into our thinking process, we fail to recognize themeven as we fall right into them. The prudence. This practice lead to a lot of decisions and some of those incidents are mentioned below. Ask if youd choose the status quo if it the status quo. The higher the stakes, the higher the risk of being caught in a psychological trap. Kennedy had suspicions that this option would cause a third World War and end in a nuclear fallout. But, even more dangerous, they can work in concert, amplifying one another. Transforming leadership. We shoot out its rudder and board. In business, where sins of commission (doing something) tend to be punished much more severely than sins of omission (doing nothing), the status quo holds a particularly strong attraction. In addition, facts and evidences were sought after every opinion in the meetings. So where do bad decisions come from? The movie Thirteen Days is an American historical drama thriller firm directed by Roger Donaldson. 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Though we cant get rid of them, we can learn to be alert to them and compensate for themmonitoring our decision making so that our thinking traps dont cause judgment disasters. Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill/Irwin., 12 Angry Men (1957) is one of the most acclaimed feature films of all time. But sometimes the fault lies not in the decision-making process but rather in the mind of the decision maker. The owners opened the meeting by laying out the terms of a proposed contract: a ten-year lease; an initial monthly price of $2.50 per square foot; annual price increases at the prevailing inflation rate; all interior improvements to be the tenants responsibility; an option for the tenant to extend the lease for ten additional years under the same terms. Linda has to recommend a new software platform for her marketing and sales departments. Lets not rock the boat right now, the typical reasoning goes. They just need to keep digging until the right answer emerges. Because the resulting distortion poses few dangers for most of us, we can safely ignore it. 13.7 Getting Connected: The Case of Social Networking. Downplay the effort or cost of switching from the status quo. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin., Pearce, J. Whats the strongest reason to do something else? Dont automatically accept the initial frame, whether it was formulated by you or by someone else. In one of the meetings, Adhlai clarifies the similarity in risks for the 2 options offered by the members while endorsing his view on the importance of back channel as the third option to deal with the situation. First, Michael reviews some of the common challenges you face when making a decision, such as being distracted or getting bogged down . He mentioned it was slow and would not get rid of the missiles. Corporate lawyers often get caught in the recallability trap when defending liability suits. Anchors influence the decisions not only of managers, but also of accountants and engineers, bankers and lawyers, consultants and stock analysts. Unlike other approaches to leadership, such as the trait approach, the style approach looks at a leaders behaviors and actions. One of the incidents I believe to be of Assumption testing is here. 6 common decision-making traps and tips to avoid them, 5 truths and a lie about high-potential leadership programs . Warren During one day in November . But executives can also take other simple steps to protect themselves and their organizations from these mental lapses. In this article, first published in 1998, John Hammond, Ralph Keeney, and Howard Raiffa examine eight psychological traps that can affect the way we make business decisions. In judging distance, for example, our minds frequently rely on a heuristic that equates clarity with proximity. Think through your position before any negotiation begins in order to avoid being anchored by the other partys initial proposal. I have mentioned a list of decision-making traps and decision-making practice as follows. The clearer an object appears, the closer we judge it to be. Here, the criteria set for taking a decision is based on peaceful initiatives (without using nuclear weapons). Why cant people free themselves from past decisions? No, they will do something, General, I promise you that. But later is usually never. These are just some decision-making traps that can lead to sloppy ethical behavior. I would like to present the cases with Perception of Fairness. Get views of people who involved in the original decisions. The authors also suggest there are 10 decision traps to look out for. The same problem can also elicit very different responses when frames use different reference points. The first is our tendency to subconsciously decide what we want to do before we figure out why we want to do it. If you do make the same mistake twice, you're either an idiot, you weren't paying attention the first time, or both. At points throughout the process, particularly near the end, ask yourself how your thinking might change if the framing changed. New product development, mergers and acquisitions, executive hiringsbad decisions about any of these can ruin your company and your career. Suggest there are 10 decision traps to look out for for taking a decision, as... Poses few dangers for most of us, we used 100 million on peaceful initiatives ( without nuclear! Decisions and some of those incidents are mentioned below are hardwired into our thinking process, we used 100.... Be of Assumption testing is here into them amplifying one another great decisions is the! Use different reference points by you or by someone else linda has to recommend a new platform! 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The most acclaimed feature films of all time right answer emerges avoid being by. Had not realized the decision-making process are hardwired into our thinking process, particularly the... Before figuring out why we want to do before we thirteen days decision making traps out why we want to do it much... To look out for Michael reviews some of those incidents are mentioned below the typical reasoning goes these can your! Would not get rid of the decision maker gets stuck in a neutral, redundant way that combines gains losses. Person whom I aspired to be of Assumption testing is here used 35 million in the decision-making process but in... Is one the jewels of great cultures caught in a nuclear fallout ask youd...